SHRAPNEL OFF THE WALL

Putin At youth Forum

 Putin At Youth Forum

(type these words inside the search box and hit GO)

Taras Bulba

]

Taras Bulba.mp4

War And Peace

War And Peace.mpg

War And Peace.wmv

War And Peace.mp4

Broken Agreement

Another agreement broken by the West.

Who would believe them now?

The Minsk ceasefire deal, point by point

(Lifted from RT.Com)

Published time: February 12, 2015 12:01

Russian President Vladimir Putin (C) shakes hands with Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko (R) during a meeting on February 11, 2015 in Minsk.(AFP Photo / Andrey Stasevich)

A glimpse of hope has appeared for peace in Ukraine after a 13-point memorandum was signed Thursday in Minsk.

The deal was brokered by the leaders of France, Germany and Russia, who joined their Ukrainian counterpart on Wednesday for marathon overnight negotiations.

The deal was signed by the so-called “contact group,” which includes the leaders of the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republics, a representative of the OSCE, Ukraine’s former President Viktor Kuchma and the Russian ambassador to Ukraine.

Here is the breakdown of the deal:

1. A comprehensive ceasefire in eastern Ukraine. Comes into force at 00.00 (Kiev time) on February 15.

2. A pullout of heavy weapons. The parties agreed to a compromise disengagement line. Kiev is to pull artillery and other hardware from the current frontline while the rebels would do it from the frontline as it was in September, before they gained ground in a January counter-offensive. The OSCE-monitored safety zone would be 50 km to 150 km wide for weapons, depending on their range. The pullout is to be completed by March 1.

3. The OSCE will use its drone fleet and monitors on the ground, as well as satellite images and radar data to ensure that both parties stick to the deal.

4. Kiev and the rebels will negotiate the terms for future local elections in the rebel-held areas, which would bring them back into Ukraine’s legal framework. Kiev would adopt legislation on self-governance that would be acceptable for the self-proclaimed republics.

5. Kiev will declare a general amnesty for the rebels.

6. An exchange of all prisoners must be completed by the fifth day after full disengagement. That’s in 19 days, if the weapons pullback takes the full time provided for by the deal.

7. Humanitarian aid convoys will be allowed full access to the needy in the war-affected areas. An international monitoring mechanism will be provided.

8. Kiev will restore economic ties, social payments and banking services in the dissenting areas, which it cut earlier in response to the elections held by the self-proclaimed republics. Their respective governments will resume taxation and payment for utilities. This provision is subject for further negotiation.

9. After the local elections are held in the Donetsk and Lugansk regions, Kiev is to restore control over their borders with Russia. The transition may take time, which would be needed for a comprehensive constitutional reform in Ukraine.

Line of vehicles at the Uspenka checkpoint in the Donetsk Region on the border between Ukraine and Russia.(RIA Novosti / John Trast)

1. All foreign troops, heavy weapons and mercenaries are to be withdrawn from Ukraine. Illegal armed groups would be disarmed, but local authorities in Donetsk and Lugansk would be allowed to have legal militia units.

Victor Lenfa, commander of a French volunteer team fighting for the rebels in Eastern Ukraine.(Screenshot from RT video)

1. Keiv will implement comprehensive constitutional reform by the end of the year, which would decentralize the Ukrainian political system and give privileges to Donetsk and Lugansk. The privileges include language self-determination, the freedom to appoint prosecutors and judges, and to establish economic ties with Russia.

Verkhovna Rada meeting.(RIA Novosti / Alexandr Maksimenko)

2. The OSCE’s election monitors are to see that local elections in the self-proclaimed republics are up to international standards. The exact procedure for the elections is subject to further negotiations.

RIA Novosti / John Trast

3. Talks between the “contact group” will be intensified in various ways.

The Minsk Club

(and thusly did the Ukrainian War start)

The Cuban Replay

And so comes an old thought

just to spite some people—-

establish bases in Cuba

and Venezuela.

Comes the American reaction to Putin’s intention

as silly dreams.

That they will soon see.

Putin does not have to establish bases

like America does.

All Putin needs is to train Cubans and Venezuelans

to establish their own bases

using Russian arms and munitions.

Russians do not have to man

these rum-and-coke installations.

Arming the Latinos

with missiles and launchers would do.

After all,

is this not what the west is doing to Ukraine right now?

(lintik lang ang walang ganti)

translation ; ah never mind.

Comedy of Sanctions

the Western Sanctions against Russia

has now turned ibto a Comedy of Errors.

And it is getting funnier at every levy.

It should have been realized that sanctions using

banks and financial institutions are no match

against sanctions using oil and food.

Man craves more of food than money.

The last sanction is a joke—“cap the price of oil or we no buy”

To which comes the reply–“buy at my price or I no sell, kemo sabay?”

Comes the threat—“we will arm a million soldiers.’

The reply—-“how you feed a million stomachs?”

(ayayayay, cantaba paloma)

Bashar Al-Assad

Bashar Al-Assad.mp4

Fifty Generals

Something is afoot here!

If these Ukrainian Generals have been wiped off

in one instant

there is more to this story than meets the eye.

And it does not bode well for both Ukraine and Russia.

It appears that Zelenskiye does not know about this.

And Putin starts a-purging his own generals.

 I hate to say what I think about this.

But if you are thinking of what I am thinking,

you’re bad!

To End The War

The Sec-Gen of the irrelevant Nato

voices out his suggestion to Ukraine

to cede some Eastern territories to Russia

to end the war.

I seriously suggest to Jen Stoltenberg that since 

he has nothing to do with neither Ukraine nor Russia,

he should mind his own business.

Besides, Putin knows what he wants 

and he is not going to tell

before somebody says uncle

and lifts the sanctions.

Otherwise, he will get to capture the whole of Ukraine.

And he will do this slowly so it hurts more.

For sure he will want Kharkiv

so as to provide a buffer zone

for Belarus.

And he will insist on controlling Odessa.

He would like to be the one to give the license to operate

for the shipping companies using the port of Odessa.

Meantime, the conflict has turned into a waiting process

to see who will decide to quit the struggle.

Snake Island

This area is too small to install

missiles that could bring down

high-flying reconnaissance planes

especially if these missiles will be in silos.

This island should first be expanded

by reclamation

and the Chinese are experts in this work.

They can even build an airfield which,

if completed, may turn this island into a fort.

Such a fort will complete the Black Sea

into being a harbor.

Russian aircraft carriers could then be

sailing outside the harbor for other assignments.

Battle For Freedom

Battle For Freedom.mp4

Battle For Freedom.mpg

Battle For Mariupol

I guessed right about the bulk of the Nazis

being concentrated in Mariupol.

And then Russia relaxed its operation against  Kiev

to concentrate the attack on the South.

The Azov soldiers who surrendered in Azovstal

may actually be very useful in validating

Putin’s cause for the Special OP.

Battle For Mariupol.mp4

Battle of Kursk

It started as a small skirmish between tanks,

but it attracted more and more tanks from both sides,

 until it turned out to be the biggest tank battle of all time.

T-34’s versus Tiger tanks,

This is now known as the Battle of Kursk.

Kursk.mp4

Kursk.mpg 

Tank Support

It can be noticed

that Russia still uses the Rokossovsky attack mode.

This is a full scale, ramped up charge of tank divisions

against panzer divisions.

But that was in WW II

where battles are fought on flat, agricultural fields.

Now, tanks are up against urban-style skirmishes.

 Ukrainians use shoulder-fired missiles

from behind bushes, thickets, concrete rubble,

and some other things better than their mom’s skirts.

So Russian tanks should be supported by Russian troops

to better identify and prevent the missiles from being fired.

Slow, propeller-driven migs can help which can fly low and 

can steer away from fired missiles.

I would emphasize that a tank charge should be preceded

by mortar shelling and troop advances.

On;y then will the Russian tanks make their yahoo charge.

Troops are effective against enemy troops with javelins.

The Joker 2

World War III is not a joke.

The comedian, Zelensky,

must have mentioned this to Putin.

But Putin took this as a threat,

and sent nuclear capable jets

straight towards Sweden,

not as a joke,

because he sent them in anger.

Now, whatever positive hints

of a ceasefire in Ukraine

are just not poss

because of one arrogant posture of Zelensky.

I was right,

the Ukrainian army tells him what to say.

Pity now Mariupol.

It will be razed

after the civilians are evacuated.

No more peace talks in the future.

Confused State, Part 15

The States

commonly called the United States

is in a confused state.

The Capitol staff appears to be

working too much and sleeping less.

It shows.

Worse, they are starting to call names.

As if they are losing on a child’s game.

They should learn to relax.

After all,

aren’t they supposed to be winning the war?

Perhaps they should start to make love

not war.

From Russia With Love.mp4

(don’t blame us now

you started it!)

Gasless Poland, Part 14

And so Putin finally installed

his first disruptive sanction—

by turning off Poland’s gas supply.

The Poles howled that this act is a blackmail.

Naturally!

Aren’t sanctions put on to blackmail people?

How many of them are needed to turn the lights on?

What can they do then?

They should go to the US 82nd Airborne Division

where both mother and daughter

drink rum and coca-cola

go down for coo manna

working for the Yankee dollah.

This is a fact, man,

this is a fuct.

Putin to Biden :

“Anongsaymongayon?”

translation :

(Anong say mo ngayon)

The Carpathian Mountains, Part 13–

There is an abandoned monastery

up in the Carpathian Mountains

bordering Ukraine.

Putin should consider this.

I am not hinting that he should be a monk

and start a new order here.

That should be funny.

What would be funnier is that this monastery

is a tourist attraction.

The tourists would die laughing when they see

Putin in a monk’s habit.

______________________________________

Why are monasteries  built way up in the mountains?

For the scenery?

To be closer to Heaven?

Privacy?

Quietude?

Raising grapes?

Was it not the celebrated monk,

Fr. Thomas Merton who said,

“Thou should not go

with the noise and the business of men?”

You may decipher this yourself.

Meantime, I prefer  this abandoned monastery

for its inaccessibility, its commanding view,

and the umbrella of protection it provides

to whomever and whichever it surveys.

This would be an excellent site for a radar installation.

Just look at the unlimited area it surveys.

The sight is clearer than what a satellite could capture.

The installation could see any plane, drone, troops,

ships, and tanks that move.

Some military modifications may be in order, though,

like a helipad, a bunker, plumbing, and etc.

To secure this radar installation,

Odessa must be captured

and the Black Sea secured.

How can the Black Sea be secured

so that Nato will be legally prevented

from entering it or from flying over it?

(On the next post, please?)

Now I wonder if that position of Military Advisor

to Putin is still available.

I should warn him that I will not accept

compensation in rubles

Pesos will do.

Also if I should be the one to establish

the exchange rate from rubles to pesos.

Stinger Missiles, Part 11

Hold on!

I am getting stung again.

I must have disturbed another nest .

Wait till the hornets go to sleep.

The come back for the post.

Looks like the coast is clear.

_____________________

So continuaremos tayo!

(whatever that means)

___________________

The U.S. provided the mujaheedin

of Osama Bin Laden with stinger missiles

that brought down the Russian Migs 

and helicopters in Afghanistan.

Bin Laden’s units were so good at this that

this forced Russia to abandon that country

and the recall of the U.S. 10th Mountain Division.

It looks like the Russians did not learn

from that experience.

The modified stingers

now being used in Ukraine

are still taking its toll.

The stinger is a  surface to air missile

that keeps pointed to a heat source.

So they call it a heat-seeking missile.

I can still hear them streaking thru

that open field close to my backyard

after a missile commits an error

while being tested.

It does not seek heat by temperature.

it points to that color which heat emits.

Therefore radar jamming is not effective

in disrupting this guidance system.

However, firing flares along the side

of an aircraft will cause the missile

to be diverted from its target.

These flares the Russians do not use.

So they lose aircraft every time.

Another method of fighting stingers is this :

For the the fast-and-furious type of pilots

he would do this——

dive straight towards the missile

on a collision course,

banking sharply before the moment of collision.

(about one km distance or more)

This will cause the missile to miss.

Then steer back to the source of the missile.

This will lead the missile towards the source

when the  missile steers back towards  the plane.

Then make a steep climb.

If there is one weakness that the stinger has

it will be that it finds it very difficult to steer

when it is fighting the pull of gravity.

(oh, i don’t fly planes. never did.

Fastest thing I go

is when I drive my mini cooper

50 kph

backwards!)

Blitzkrieg, Part 8

Whether Sweden and Finland actually joins Nato

as they announced,

Putin will now be concerned about threats

from two fronts; North and West.

It should be recalled that Hitler lost WW II

because he he had to contend with two fronts. 

His mistake was he did not complete the destruction

of the British Army by not continuing with the

blitzkrieg of Great Britain.

Instead he set his sights towards Russia,

or that country which has never been conquered

even by Alexander or Napoleon.

Besides, he believed that

the British also sprang from the Aryan race.

Anyway, to prevent fighting a war

from the East and from the North,

Putin must now end this war in Ukraine.

He must use a different strategy—

which is to obliterate the City of Kiev.

Without the command centers of Kiev.

the Ukrainian Army will collapse.

But Putin must use bombers

for the blitzkrieg. or carpet bombing.

So he now shifts from capturing Eastern Ukraine

to capturing the whole of Ukraine.

This should send message

to Sweden and Finland

and to Nato and to whomever else.

Another more deciduous way

is to drop a nuclear bomb of very,very low yield

(or a very large conventional bomb)

on the border between Finland and Sweden.

I do not believe Nato will react

the way they say they would!

(note that attacks on Russia are now coming from inside the Ukraine border)

The Joker

World War III is not a joke.

The comedian, Zelensky, must have mentioned this to Putin.

But Putin took this as a threat,

and sent nuclear capable jets straight towards Sweden,

not as a joke,

because he sent them in anger.

Now, whatever positive hints of a ceasefire in Ukraine

are just not possible because of one arrogant posture

of Zelensky.

I was right, the Ukrainian army tells him what to say.

Pity now Mariupol.

It will be razed after the civilians are evacuated.

No more peace talks in the future.

De-scaling Activity In Kiev

Putin promised to de-scale activity in Kiev

but he he did not promise to STOP activity in Kiev.

So Russia can still send four missiles only

instead of eight.

De-escalation!

Ukraine has not done anything positive to prove that

it will do something as per negotiations.

For one thing,

Ukraine keeps admitting in weapons from Nato.

if Ukraine stops, Russia will stop.

It is a give and take,

As per negotiations.

At any rate, the Western World has proven again

that it cannot sling correctly their own language.

Moreover, it is Russia who has Ukraine on the ropes.

Now why would Russia stop hitting Ukraine

if Ukraine still does not cry Uncle.

Go, boy, go!

USD Again Devalues

(I am still on the guessing side

as to how  many waves it would take for

the Russian response….

and I will decide the probability of WW III 

on next post after this). 

Meantime the country of Poland has now started

to buckle under the weight of caring for the millions

of unproductive Ukrainian refugees.

This is Biden’s problem,

and he has to put money where his mouth is.

This will cost him.

And more money has to be printed

by the Federal Reserve.

This further reduces the value

of the US Dollar.

And so, without even lifting a finger,

Putin has unwittingly dropped a sanction

over Biden’s head.

Of course, it has been a long time

since the Federal Reserve has provided information

about the real value of the US Dollar.

The Siege of Kijev(Kiev)

I did say that Putin is on a pause

to start to  lay the siege of Kiev.

Using the siege, he does not have to order

land attacks on the city which would be risky

for the Russian soldiers.

Putin will just have to wait for the time

that starvation creeps in.

After which the Uke Army will be compelled

to come out and raise the siege.

Even now Nato will be  beefing up the

Western Ukraine with four battle groups.

These military formations may not cross the border

to attack the Russians but their equipment can.

So the Russian Army should make sure that the

Western border of Ukraine is sealed off.

Better still, a complete army camp should be installed 

somewhere near Odessa to protect the blockade.

This siege will force the Uke Army to give up.

BTW, if we must recall the fiasco at Dien Bien Phu,

the French Army built this camp on a site below the hills.

And when the French failed, the Americans took over the camp.

So the Viet Cong just continued the steady shelling of the camp.

The Viet Cong was resupplied by a convoy of people with

poor transportation, sometimes lugging the shells

up the mountain bodily.

The Americans lost that war.

 The route of the supply convoy

was named the Ho Chi Minh Trail.

As for the lull in the Ukraine War,

this is just a pause in the Russian attacks

to see when the starvation in the city

takes its toll.

No More Mr. Nice Guy

Putin declared,

in quite an obtuse manner,

that he will accept only rubles

as payment for Russian oil and gas.

This caused a raucus amongst the

Western banks including the Swiss banks

which have been discovered lately

to stand on shaky grounds

as regards their neutrality. 

No More Mr. Nice Guy!

EH?